Ask Colin

TRADING SYSTEM

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  1. How canI adapt your risk management for my trading plan?
  2. Is there a general approach to testing a trading plan?
  3. I have studied the SIA technical analysis subjects, but cannot decide on a system and technique. What should I do?
  4. What do you think of the Turtles Trading System?
  5. The rules for the Turtle Trading System at http://www.originalturtles.org/ appear to be genuine. What do you think of the pdf document containing the rules?
  6. Can Dr Elder's method of evaluating our trading against the percentage of the channel captured be applied to active investing?
  7. What is the difference between a simple system and a complex one?
  8. You have said that the "turtles" system pyramiding rules are not public knowledge. Please clarify.
  9. If I use a 21-week exponential moving average crossover for entries and exits (with time filters) I get a lot of false starts, but losses would have been greater without it. What do you think?
  10. How does your advice to select a trading plan and stick to it square with you selling videotapes of three different systems from your trading camp?
  11. I have read the book from Dr. Alexander Elder "Trading for a Living". Dr Elder is recommending the Triple Screen Trading system. As I very much appreciate your advice I would like to ask you what you think about the Triple Screen Trading System. Is it a good system? Do you know an appropriate program?
  12. I have been testing Dogs of the Dow system on last 5-6 years ASX data. Surprisingly, it works really well...average annual return beating the index by a large margin. Even more surprising is that it doesn't really matter what time of the year starts the testing, I tried March, June, Sept, Dec, it always beat the index... I feel so depressed that it even beats my average return. All it needs is once a year approx. half a year work, always 100% invested no matter if the market is going up or down...I wonder if I add TA into the system to get rid of the real dogs, it may enhance the return?
  13. Is trading crossovers of the 260-day moving average a good system?
  14. Could you please show me how the Nicholas Darvas system works and what your opinion of this trading system is and is it still relevant in today's market!
  15. Please comment on my trading system.
  16. What is your view on system testing?
  17. What is pyramiding and how is the best way to do it?
  18. (Concerning the testing of the "Dogs of the Dow Theory" and its variants), do you think the published value of Div % is reasonably accurate for this analysis or should I be looking for more accurate data? I could obtain this back history from the CRIF lab at NSW Uni, at significant cost, but if the newspaper data is close enough then I can continue on and save the money. I note that most people buying stocks on yield and price would do so straight off this list anyway.
  19. Some time ago you said you thought the various American authors of books on (the various variants of the "Dogs of the Dow" method) had just optimised their back testing to sell books, i.e.. Michael O' Higgins (Dow 5) and the Gardiner Bros. with their Dow 4 and Foolish 4. Are you still of this opinion? If so why?
  20. I was reading the Shares magazine October 2000 and I would like to clarify the triple moving average system. You mention for the Brandrill chart that you buy when the 15-day MA crosses from below to above the 30 day. If one wants to trade weekly does the crossing of the 5-day from below to above signal a buy? What about the 5 and 30 day? Any significance?